tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888411.post1406857786687191023..comments2024-03-23T05:20:41.018-06:00Comments on Dan Agonistes: An Historical Look at EqSBRDan Agonisteshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07863051818485888739noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888411.post-55597030727404149072006-12-18T18:11:00.000-07:002006-12-18T18:11:00.000-07:00Thanks for the link Tom. Somehow I missed that.
...Thanks for the link Tom. Somehow I missed that. <br /><br />pip, excluding 1999 Tim Raines has a commanding lead in total EqSBR at 100.7 with Ricky Henderson second at 78.6 despite over 700 more opportunities. Willie Wilson is third at 68.0 and Vince Coleman fourth at 50.9. Everyone else is below 40. Tim Wallach was last at -26.5.Dan Agonisteshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07863051818485888739noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888411.post-85257312618181400452006-12-18T15:23:00.000-07:002006-12-18T15:23:00.000-07:00According to the Oswalt link (see preceding link),...According to the Oswalt link (see preceding link), Raines's basestealing adds 16 wins, just short of Rickey's 17 wins. That is an enormous number. That's the equivalent of over 100 HR.<br /><br />That adds 10 points to his OBP and 45 points to his SLG, turning his .385/.425 into .395/.470.<br /><br />His OPS+ goes from 123 to 137.Tangotigerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11053254365298107026noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888411.post-57646207151683086152006-12-18T14:40:00.000-07:002006-12-18T14:40:00.000-07:00That Tim Raines shows up so many times in the lead...That Tim Raines shows up so many times in the leaders list should also bolster his HOF credentials. He's fifth all-time in SBs with 808, but his EqSBR feats contextualize that figure.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888411.post-10651552554074140382006-12-18T10:22:00.000-07:002006-12-18T10:22:00.000-07:00Dan,
You may be interested in this research:
http...Dan,<br /><br />You may be interested in this research:<br />http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/story/2006/7/29/181346/885<br /><br />Which correlates the basestealing using Win Expectancy against "static" run values, to come up with "cluch" base stealing.Tangotigerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11053254365298107026noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888411.post-4133120285684509822006-12-18T08:33:00.000-07:002006-12-18T08:33:00.000-07:00Cool Dan! This might be an interesting metric for ...Cool Dan! This might be an interesting metric for a manager, too. <br /><br />I've long felt that Ned Yost just simply puts far too much underserved faith in guys on the basepaths. He really likes to roll the dice. Him being at least partially responsible for Brady Clark's 2005 and Bill Hall's 2006 vindicates that notion for me somewhat. Note that's 1/4 of the 2005 terrible seasons and 1/2 of the 2006 terrible seasons.<br /><br />Would love to see the team totals for the Milwaukee Brewers 2003-2006. Yes, a lot of it is on the players, but Brady Clark had no business running, ever, in 2005, and that's on Ned Yost.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com