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Friday, June 15, 2007

Hit 'em Where They Aint

I was running a few numbers for a colleague and so I thought I'd post them. Below is a table going back to 2003 that shows the number of balls put into play by vector and the numbers and percentages that went for hits and non-homerun hits. Finally we have the slugging percentage earned on those batted balls.


Year Type BIP H Non-HR TB %H %Non-HR SLUG
2003 Fly 36870 9898 5390 27314 26.8% 14.6% 0.741
2004 Fly 37168 10494 5786 28619 28.2% 15.6% 0.770
2005 Fly 37268 10442 5913 28207 28.0% 15.9% 0.757
2006 Fly 37856 10863 6034 29557 28.7% 15.9% 0.781
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2003 Ground 62253 14979 14977 16312 24.1% 24.1% 0.262
2004 Ground 61577 14841 14841 16198 24.1% 24.1% 0.263
2005 Ground 61809 14669 14669 15965 23.7% 23.7% 0.258
2006 Ground 61131 14910 14910 16233 24.4% 24.4% 0.266
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2003 Line 25852 18986 18290 26506 73.4% 70.7% 1.025
2004 Line 25666 18951 18208 26495 73.8% 70.9% 1.032
2005 Line 25425 18649 18162 25240 73.3% 71.4% 0.993
2006 Line 25909 19013 18457 26073 73.4% 71.2% 1.006
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2003 Pop 11124 173 173 212 1.6% 1.6% 0.019
2004 Pop 11285 236 236 278 2.1% 2.1% 0.025
2005 Pop 11370 230 230 265 2.0% 2.0% 0.023
2006 Pop 10886 239 239 310 2.2% 2.2% 0.028
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2003 30639 15 14 18 0.0% 0.0% 0.001
2004 31657 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.000
2005 30463 1 0 4 0.0% 0.0% 0.000
2006 31558 47 47 93 0.1% 0.1% 0.003


So from this you can see that just under 30% of fly balls go for hits although only 16% of non-homerun flyballs. About a quarter of ground balls and three quarters of fly balls fall in and 1 in 50 popups are hits. The remainder are not actually balls in place but rather strikeouts and unclassified plays in the data.

3 comments:

Tangotiger said...

Dan, great stuff.

Can you amend your chart (either add a column, or replace the one I'm going to talk about):

The %nonHR would be "better" or more interesting anyway, if you would exclude the HR from both the numerator and denominator.

This way, we can make a "DIPS" comparison on fieldable balls.

Tangotiger said...

Did you exclude bunts?

Tangotiger said...

Hate to be a pest as I'm working with your data:
- you have two groundball HR in 2003... would this be say an inside the park where the ball would have gone down the line, etc? Thought that was interesting.