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Thursday, September 08, 2005

Counts for 2004

In my article this week on The Hardball Times I talked about hitting in different counts. Here's some supporting data for 2004 that shows what all players in the majors hit in different counts.

The columns AVG-SO and SLUG-SO illustrate what hitters hit in the count when strikeouts are taken out of the equation.


Count PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB IBB HBP SO AVG SLUG AVG-SO SLUG-SO
0-2 14325 14029 2314 448 49 199 3457 0 0 185 6483 0.165 0.246 0.307 0.458
1-2 25600 25187 4462 788 80 427 6691 0 0 28310847 0.177 0.266 0.311 0.467
2-2 24396 24064 4735 897 95 525 7397 0 0 187 9286 0.197 0.307 0.320 0.501
3-2 23146 15914 3599 746 82 518 6063 7047 5 76 5212 0.226 0.381 0.336 0.567
0-1 17034 16265 5116 998 90 489 7761 0 0 305 0 0.315 0.477 0.315 0.477
1-1 16925 16382 5331 1056 96 602 8385 0 0 199 0 0.325 0.512 0.325 0.512
1-0 14195 13736 4643 1009 107 651 7819 0 0 118 0 0.338 0.569 0.338 0.569
0-0 23249 21732 7387 1457 147 95912015 0 0 376 0 0.340 0.553 0.340 0.553
2-1 10651 10408 3539 738 78 485 5888 0 0 76 0 0.340 0.566 0.340 0.566
2-0 5074 4952 1706 408 37 273 3007 0 0 25 0 0.345 0.607 0.345 0.607
3-1 9358 4397 1579 351 36 288 2866 4809 79 15 0 0.359 0.652 0.359 0.652
3-0 4586 287 111 23 1 35 241 2985 1297 5 0 0.387 0.840 0.387 0.840


I also talked about the frequency of hitting in different counts that showed the leaders in working themselves into hitter's counts did so at a rate of around 30-33%. Below are the averages in 2004.


Count PA Pct Counts
0-2 14325 0.076 Hitters 0.233
1-2 25600 0.136 Pitchers 0.302
2-2 24396 0.129 Neutral 0.465
3-2 23146 0.123
0-1 17034 0.090
1-1 16925 0.090
1-0 14195 0.075
0-0 23249 0.123
2-1 10651 0.056
2-0 5074 0.027
3-1 9358 0.050
3-0 4586 0.024

1 comment:

rhd said...

Very interesting stats! They suggest that the only counts that really are pitcher's counts are those where there are 2 strikes and that any other count really is a hitter's count. Included in the hitter's counts is 0-0, where hitters hit over .300! So, altho these stats seem to show the value of hitters trying to work into deep counts, they also indicate that just swinging at the first pitch seems to greatly increase your chances of getting a hit. Perhaps an effective strategy might be to generally try to take the first pitch when facing pitchers that dont have good control (e.g., V. Zambrano) and be ready to swing at the first pitch when facing good control pitchers (e.g., D. Wells).