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Tuesday, October 11, 2005

Jacobs Field and the Fabric of the Cosmos

Here is something interesting that seems to me requires an explanation. As Dave Studeman pointed out in one of his excellent "Ten Things" columns Jacobs Field in Cleveland appears to induce more ground balls than other parks.

The following is the raw data from Baseball Info Solutions for the past three years.


Jacobs Field
BIP grnders flysof flysif liners grnders flysof flysif liners
2004 4642 2096 1427 182 859 45.2% 30.7% 3.9% 18.5%
2003 4589 2019 1261 161 1010 44.0% 27.5% 3.5% 22.0%
2002 4483 2044 1259 181 923 45.6% 28.1% 4.0% 20.6%

Indians Road Games
2004 4808 1974 1667 214 880 41.1% 34.7% 4.5% 18.3%
2003 4754 1953 1439 186 1061 41.1% 30.3% 3.9% 22.3%
2002 4571 1917 1431 176 951 41.9% 31.3% 3.9% 20.8%

Ratios
grnders flysof flysif liners
2004 1.100 0.887 0.881 1.011
2003 1.071 0.908 0.897 0.986
2002 1.087 0.897 1.049 0.990

So the numbers have been consistent over the past three years and average out to around 1.086, or 8.6% above average.

So the question of the day is, what factors could conspire to make one ballpark induce more ground balls than another? Or should the question be reversed and are the additional ground balls really a suppression of fly balls?

I've thought a bit about this and nothing really comes to the forefront in terms of explanations. Could it be something about the park (prevailing winds?) that pushes foul popups into the stands and provides more chances for ground balls? Could it be the hitting background that induces hitters to hit the top half of the ball? Is the mound a little higher or lower? Could it be an anomaly in the fabric of spacetime that creates an area of concentrated gravity in the vicinity of the infield at Jacobs Field? I'm up for any other explanations as well...

By the way, I've checked the BIS data against another data source and although the scoring guidelines differ between the two sources the second source confirms the well above average ground ball rates at Jacobs Field.

Look for complete batted ball park factors in The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2006.

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