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Tuesday, January 24, 2006

Luck Part II

I mentioned in a previous post that I would be posting an update to my article in the THT Baseball Annual 2006 titled "Are You Feeling Lucky?" on THT. I've done so and you can read all the details here. What it boils down to is that I made an Excel error in some of run totals and then took the opportunity to recalculate the projected runs scored and runs allowed using more customized versions of the BaseRuns formula.

I also noticed this post on Walk Like a Sabermetrician that shows an elegant way to estimate runs per wins and points out a typo in the original article which I did not catch.

There's also been some discussion of the article on Baseball Think Factory.

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