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Friday, June 03, 2005

And Even More on Bunting

I think I've caused folks some confusion (most of all me) in my post on bunting. I took a few minutes today and tried to recast the numbers so it is clear.

Successful sac bunts: 1,731
Bunts that are potential sacs: 466
Bunt strikeouts in sac situations: 162
Positive outcomes from potential sacs: 241
Negative outcomes from potential sacs: 389 (includes strikeouts)

Upper limit of sac percentage (includes all bunt singles): (1731+241)/(1731+241+389) = 83.5%

Lower limit of sac percentage (no bunt singles): (1731+18)/(1731+18+389) = 81.8%

Outcomes by percentage for all sacrific attempts where Lower does not include singles and upper does:


Negative Lower Upper
Double play: 1.4% 1.2%
Force out: 8.3% 7.5%
Fielder's Choice: 1.0% 0.9%
Strikeout: 7.6% 6.9%
Total: 18.2% 16.5%


Positive Lower Upper
Error: 0.6% 0.5%
Single + Error: 0.0% 1.2%
Single: 0.0% 8.2%
Fielder's Choice + Error: 0.2% 0.2%
Force out + Error: 0.1% 0.1%
Successful sac: 81.0% 73.3%
Total: 81.8% 83.5%

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