And Even More on Bunting

I think I've caused folks some confusion (most of all me) in my post on bunting. I took a few minutes today and tried to recast the numbers so it is clear.

Successful sac bunts: 1,731
Bunts that are potential sacs: 466
Bunt strikeouts in sac situations: 162
Positive outcomes from potential sacs: 241
Negative outcomes from potential sacs: 389 (includes strikeouts)

Upper limit of sac percentage (includes all bunt singles): (1731+241)/(1731+241+389) = 83.5%

Lower limit of sac percentage (no bunt singles): (1731+18)/(1731+18+389) = 81.8%

Outcomes by percentage for all sacrific attempts where Lower does not include singles and upper does:

Negative         Lower   Upper
Double play:      1.4%   1.2%
Force out:        8.3%   7.5%
Fielder's Choice: 1.0%   0.9%
Strikeout:        7.6%   6.9%
Total:           18.2%   16.5%


Positive                 Lower   Upper
Error:                    0.6%   0.5%
Single + Error:           0.0%   1.2%
Single:                   0.0%   8.2%
Fielder's Choice + Error: 0.2%   0.2%
Force out + Error:        0.1%   0.1%
Successful sac:          81.0%  73.3%
Total:                   81.8%  83.5%